Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 15.260270 17.264412 19.507703 22.219001 25.426081 29.122064 33.737594
2025-09-14 12.042500 14.458625 17.379141 21.215340 26.190855 32.523969 41.357123
2025-09-21 10.103104 12.594437 15.757922 20.147834 26.209724 34.484601 46.999171
2025-09-28 8.892534 11.419396 14.756720 19.599894 26.646448 36.858633 53.447179
2025-10-05 8.923828 11.845387 15.878803 22.041092 31.574540 46.424507 72.792340
2025-10-12 8.467424 11.525789 15.893947 22.841252 34.128928 52.781539 88.493749
2025-10-19 7.707909 10.685699 15.045969 22.191000 34.238024 55.073936 97.422228
2025-10-26 7.390050 10.456420 15.073717 22.901555 36.677170 61.817438 116.743865
2025-11-02 6.887669 9.899019 14.532110 22.597537 37.280028 65.260405 130.158221
2025-11-09 6.428813 9.368817 13.980002 22.201628 37.639102 68.265581 143.457259
2025-11-16 6.050693 8.934833 13.542164 21.948301 38.215550 71.798211 159.131482
2025-11-23 5.651653 8.437578 12.956707 21.363367 38.054648 73.716906 171.286847
2025-11-30 5.330506 8.059063 12.564101 21.135921 38.677159 77.724597 191.385548
2025-12-07 4.918588 7.504103 11.827903 20.191363 37.691106 77.857019 200.430538
2025-12-14 4.537092 6.975863 11.099116 19.188418 36.444273 77.128287 206.632109
2025-12-21 4.264939 6.616347 10.642620 18.673207 36.196862 78.852547 221.748367
2025-12-28 4.419029 6.997492 11.543535 20.966817 42.663219 99.710093 316.863556
2026-01-04 4.343859 6.969770 11.687859 21.717654 45.651466 111.985698 388.580247
2026-01-11 4.102824 6.630235 11.218299 21.107519 45.178212 113.899745 415.967502
2026-01-18 4.032772 6.595593 11.329191 21.774222 48.075790 127.142454 509.099904
2026-01-25 3.858216 6.358515 11.028112 21.489010 48.420239 132.196424 563.892548
2026-02-01 3.686457 6.117343 10.702908 21.117493 48.477753 136.326438 617.596860
2026-02-08 3.540429 5.916732 10.445824 20.879716 48.877416 141.839063 686.136561